ESTOFEX PER DEMÀ: A level 2 was issued for parts of
SE/E Spain and the Balearic Islands[b] mainly for large to very large hail, excessive rainfall amounts, severe wind gusts and an isolated tornado event.[/b]
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Thunderstorms will already go on over the Balearic Islands and the coastal areas of E-Spain with the influence of the departing short-wave and weak capping. Soon, thunderstorms also initiate over SE to NE Spain with only some additional heating needed. This activity will continue well into the night ... probably all night long.
Well organized multicells and supercells with large to very large hail, severe wind gusts and excessive rain are forecast. A concern is that 15 kt easterly winds over the Balearic Islands could offset 15-20 kt NW-erly storm motions with a long-lasting and
repeatedly regenerating thunderstorm cluster sitting between València, Barcelona and the Balearic Islands. PWs in excess of 40 mm
indicate an enhanced risk of damaging flash flooding both along the E-coast of Spain but also over the Islands. Other than that, an isolated tornado event is possible with mature supercells along the coast, where sea-breeze interaction and enhanced LL CAPE increase a spin-up